Submitted Articles & Preprints
Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming
Winkelmann, R., Garbe, J., Donges, J. F., Albrecht, T.: Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming, in review, 2024.
Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800 kyr warns of future ice loss
Chandler, D. M., Langebroek, P. M., Reese, R., Albrecht, T., Garbe, J., Winkelmann, R.: Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800 kyr warns of future ice loss, in review, DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3042739/v1 (preprint), 2024.
Peer-Reviewed Publications
Earth’s hypsometry and what it tells us about global sea level
Pedersen, V. K., Gomez, N., Mitrovica, J. X., Jungdal-Olesen, G., Andersen, J. L., Garbe, J., Aschwanden, A., Winkelmann, R.: Earth's hypsometry and what it tells us about global sea level, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 648, DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2024.119071, 2024.
Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet over the next three centuries from an ISMIP6 model ensemble
Seroussi, H., Pelle, T., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Alvarez-Solas, J., Asay-Davis, X., Barre, J.-B., Berends, C. J., Bernales, J., Blasco, J., Caillet, J., Chandler, D. M., Coulon, V., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Garbe, J., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Gladstone, R., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N., Greve, R., Gudmundsson, G. H., Han, H. K., Hillebrand, T. R., Hoffman, M. J., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Klose, A. K., Langebroek, P. M., Leguy, G. R., Lowry, D. P., Mathiot, P., Montoya, M., Morlighem, M., Nowicki, S., Pattyn, F., Payne, A. J., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Robinson, A., Saraste, L., Simon, E. G., Sun, S., Twarog, J. P., Trusel, L. D., Urruty, B., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R. S. W., Wang, Y., Zhao, C., Zwinger, T.: Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet over the next three centuries from an ISMIP6 model ensemble, Earth's Future, 12, e2024EF004561, DOI: 10.1029/2024EF004561, 2024.
The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple
Garbe, J., Zeitz, M., Krebs-Kanzow, U., Winkelmann, R.: The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple, The Cryosphere, 17, 4571–4599, DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023, 2023.
The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded
Reese, R., Garbe, J., Hill, E. A., Urruty, B., Naughten, K. A., Gagliardini, O., Durand, G., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Gudmundsson, G. H., Chandler, D., Langebroek, P. M., Winkelmann, R.: The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded, The Cryosphere, 17, 3761-3783, DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3761-2023, 2023.
The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry
Hill, E. A.*, Urruty, B.*, Reese, R.*, Garbe, J., Gagliardini, O., Durand, G., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Gudmundsson, G. H., Winkelmann, R., Chekki, M., Chandler, D., Langebroek, P. M.: The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry, The Cryosphere, 17, 3739-3759, DOI: 10.5194/tc-17-3739-2023, 2023. *These authors contributed equally to this work.
Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5°C carbon budget over space and time
Bauer, N., Keller, D. P., Garbe, J., Karstens, K., Piontek, F., von Bloh, W., Thiery, W., Zeitz, M., Mengel, M., Strefler, J., Thonicke, K., and Winkelmann, R.: Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5°C carbon budget over space and time, Environ. Res. Lett., 18, 054015, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/accd83, 2023.
The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Garbe, J., Albrecht, T., Levermann, A., Donges, J. F., and Winkelmann, R.: The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, Nature, 585, 538–544, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5, 2020.
Projecting Antarctica’s contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)
Levermann, A., Winkelmann, R., Albrecht, T., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Huybrechts, P., Jordan, J., Leguy, G., Martin, D., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Pollard, D., Quiquet, A., Rodehacke, C., Seroussi, H., Sutter, J., Zhang, T., Van Breedam, J., Calov, R., DeConto, R., Dumas, C., Garbe, J., Gudmundsson, G. H., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Kleiner, T., Lipscomb, W. H., Meinshausen, M., Ng, E., Nowicki, S. M. J., Perego, M., Price, S. F., Saito, F., Schlegel, N.-J., Sun, S., and van de Wal, R. S. W.: Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2), Earth Syst. Dynam., 11, 35–76, DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-35-2020, 2020.
Policy Reports
The Global Tipping Points Report 2023
Winkelmann, R., Steinert, N. J., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Brovkin, V., Kääb, A., Notz, D., Aksenov, Y., Arndt, S., Bathiany, S., Burke, E., Garbe, J., Gasson, E., Goelzer, H., Hugelius, G., Klose, A. K., Langebroek, P. M., Marzeion, B., Maussion, F., Nitzbon, J., Robinson, A., Rynders, S., Sudakow, I.: Tipping points in the cryosphere – In: Lenton, T. M., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Loriani, S., Abrams, J. F., Lade, S. J., Donges, J. F., Milkoreit, M., Powell, T., Smith, S. R., Zimm, C., Bailey, E., Buxton, J. E., Dyke, J. G., Ghadiali, A., Laybourn, L. (eds): The Global Tipping Points Report 2023, University of Exeter, UK, global-tipping-points.org, 2023.Non-Peer-Reviewed Publications
Hysteresis For Dummies – Why history matters
Garbe, J.: Hysteresis For Dummies – Why history matters, EGU Blogs, blogs.egu.eu/divisions/cr/2020/12/04/hysteresis-for-dummies-why-history-matters/, 2020.Academic Theses
Long-term evolution and critical thresholds of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Garbe, J.: Long-term evolution and critical thresholds of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, M.Sc. Thesis, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hamburg, 2017.
An overview of explanations for the problem of weak temperature gradients in warm climates in Earth history
Garbe, J.: Ein Überblick über Erklärungsversuche für das Problem der flachen Temperaturgradienten in Warmzeiten der Erdgeschichte, B.Sc. Thesis, Department of Physics, Humboldt University of Berlin, 2013.
Data & Code
PISM model output data from Garbe et al. (Nature, 2020) publication
Garbe, J.: PISM model output data from Garbe et al. (Nature, 2020) publication [data set], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.10361755, 2023.
Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM)
Khrulev, C., Aschwanden, A., Bueler, E., Brown, J., Maxwell, D., Albrecht, T., Reese, R., Mengel, M., Martin, M., Winkelmann, R., Zeitz, M., Levermann, A., Feldmann, J., Garbe, J., Haseloff, M., Seguinot, J., Hinck, S., Kleiner, T., Fischer, E., Damsgaard, A., Lingle, C., van Pelt, W., Ziemen, F., Shemonski, N., Mankoff, K., Kennedy, J., Blum, K., Habermann, M., DellaGiustina, D., Hock, R., Kreuzer, M., Degregori, E., Schoell, S.: Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) [code], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.1199019, 2023.
PISM version as used in Garbe et al. (TC, 2023) publication (Version v1.2-debm-simple-antarctica)
Garbe, J., Zeitz, M., other PISM authors: PISM version as used in Garbe et al. (TC, 2023) publication (Version v1.2-debm-simple-antarctica) [code], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8325074, 2023.
PISM version as used in Bauer et al. (ERL, 2023) publication (Version v1.1-overshoots-antarctica)
Garbe, J., other PISM authors: PISM version as used in Bauer et al. (ERL, 2023) publication (Version v1.1-overshoots-antarctica) [code], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.7777927, 2023.
PISM version as used in Garbe et al. (Nature, 2020) publication (Version v1.0-hysteresis-antarctica)
Garbe, J., other PISM authors: PISM version as used in Garbe et al. (Nature, 2020) publication (Version v1.0-hysteresis-antarctica) [code], Zenodo, DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3956431, 2020.